How to teach critical thinking in 1 hour

I’ve always been interested in Phil Tetlock‘s work on forecasting.

Turns out, good forecasting depends on good critical thinking, which can be boiled down to the habit of applying “but,” “however,” and “although” to your own ideas. That’s what “superforecasters” do.

Tetlock was able to improve college students’ forecasting skills by 10% in one hour of instruction.